BC
BRAINSTORM CELL THERAPEUTICS INC. (BCLI)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- BCLI reported Q1 2025 net loss of $(2.86)M and diluted EPS of $(0.45), improving year over year from $(3.40)M and $(0.75) as lower warrant fair value losses offset higher operating expenses .
- EPS materially beat thin Wall Street consensus (n=1): -$0.45 vs -$0.97, a +$0.52 surprise; revenue remained $0 as a pre-revenue biotech (est $0) [Q1 2025 estimates from S&P Global]*.
- Operationally, the FDA cleared BCLI to initiate its Phase 3b ENDURANCE trial under an SPA; management is finalizing site CTAs (~15 U.S. centers), scaling manufacturing (Tel Aviv Sourasky; tech transfer to Pluri; new LOI with Minaris in NJ) and awaits potential non‑dilutive funding (a $15M grant under review) .
- Near-term stock catalysts: site activations and first‑patient‑in, non‑dilutive grant decision(s), Minaris/Pluri manufacturing milestones, and any partnership/financing updates that de‑risk enrollment and timeline .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- FDA clearance to initiate Phase 3b under SPA, materially de‑risking regulatory pathway and enabling site activation and patient enrollment .
- Manufacturing network strengthened: initial production at Tel Aviv Sourasky; tech transfer to Pluri; new LOI with Minaris to add U.S. capacity (Allendale, NJ) .
- EPS outperformed consensus as warrant fair value impact moderated YoY (-$0.18M vs -$0.94M), improving net loss despite higher OpEx .
- Management tone confident on trial readiness: “This regulatory clearance marks a significant milestone, bringing us closer to commencing patient enrollment” (CEO) .
What Went Wrong
- Liquidity remains tight: cash & equivalents of $1.64M and restricted cash $0.18M at quarter‑end; current liabilities rose QoQ (short‑term loans $1.20M vs $0.30M) .
- Funding is the gating factor to enrollment pace; management highlighted need for robust funding and is pursuing grants/partnerships, with a $15M non‑dilutive grant under review .
- OpEx rose YoY as execution ramped (R&D $1.304M vs $0.961M; G&A $1.785M vs $1.513M) while still no revenue, extending reliance on external financing .
Financial Results
P&L and EPS vs Prior Periods
Notes: BCLI reported no product revenues; statements present only operating expenses (pre‑revenue biotech) .
Liquidity and Balance Sheet (selected)
Versus Estimates (S&P Global)
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global. Coverage thin (n=1 for both EPS and revenue).
Drivers of EPS upside: lower loss on change in warrant fair value YoY (-$0.18M vs -$0.94M) and modest financial income, partially offset by higher R&D and G&A .
Guidance Changes
No financial guidance (revenue, margins, OpEx ranges) was provided; management focuses on operational milestones and financing progress .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “This regulatory clearance marks a significant milestone, bringing us closer to commencing patient enrollment” — Chaim Lebovits, CEO .
- “We plan to initiate initial manufacturing at Tel Aviv Sourasky… then proceed with a technology transfer to Pluri… [and] have secured a leading U.S. clinical site that has successfully passed FDA inspection” — Hartoun Hartounian, COO .
- “We are actively engaged in negotiations for… approximately 15 leading clinical centers across the United States... ENDURANCE details are posted on clinicaltrials.gov” — CEO .
- “We are actively pursuing multiple funding avenues… including a promising $15 million nondilutive grant currently under review” — CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- UNC13A stratification: FDA SPA “agreed on with all the details, including the population”; UNC13A association is “exploratory and not definitive at this stage,” though post‑hoc analyses will be pursued .
- Mechanistic evidence: NurOwn‑conditioned media restored cell viability to 96.5% of normoxic conditions in a hypoxia model; data included in the IND to support MOA .
- Manufacturing capacity/timeline: Rolling enrollment supported initially by Tel Aviv facility, then Pluri; U.S. manufacturing expected to come online next year .
- Sites/enrollment: ~15 sites listed on ClinicalTrials.gov; CTAs to be signed gradually; plan contemplates 200‑patient trial over ~3 years to full enrollment/treatment (funding dependent) .
- Funding: Multiple avenues in progress; $15M non‑dilutive grant under review; partnerships prioritized to launch and complete the study .
Estimates Context
- EPS: Actual -$0.45 vs consensus -$0.97 (n=1) — a significant beat likely driven by reduced warrant fair value losses and modest financial income despite higher OpEx . Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
- Revenue: Pre‑revenue; actual $0 vs consensus $0 (n=1). Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
- Estimate quality: Coverage remains thin; future estimates may need to reflect higher share count and OpEx ramp as sites/manufacturing activate, as well as potential non‑cash warrant valuation effects .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Regulatory de‑risking: FDA clearance under SPA removes a key overhang and sets a clear path to enrollment; future updates on first‑patient‑in and site activations are key trading catalysts .
- Funding is the gating variable: Execution pace and enrollment depend on securing capital; management is pursuing a $15M non‑dilutive grant and strategic partnerships .
- Manufacturing redundancy emerging: Tel Aviv + Pluri + Minaris LOI establishes a multi‑node network that should mitigate CMC/supply risk as scale increases .
- EPS beat vs thin consensus: -$0.45 vs -$0.97 (n=1) reflects lower non‑cash warrant volatility YoY; near‑term P&L variability may persist given financing and fair‑value items . Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
- Balance sheet still tight: Cash & equivalents $1.64M; restricted cash $0.18M; current liabilities $10.90M — reinforcing urgency of funding updates .
- Trial focus on early ALS with biomarker support: Early‑disease enrichment and ALSFRS‑R at 24 weeks remain central; UNC13A and NfL data continue to support the biological rationale, albeit exploratory for stratification .
- Optionality from exosomes/IP: Preclinical signals in COPD/ARDS and expanding IP provide longer‑term upside outside NurOwn .
Sources:
- Q1 2025 8‑K and Exhibit 99.1 press release (financials, balance sheet, trial and corporate updates) .
- Q1 2025 earnings call transcript (FDA clearance, operations, funding, Q&A) .
- FDA clearance PR (May 19) .
- Minaris LOI PR (May 27) .
- FY 2024 PR and Q4 2024 call (context on SPA/CMC, funding needs) .
- Q3 2024 PR (prior‑quarter financials and biomarker/survival data) .
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.